Mind Matters Natural and Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis

CategoryEconomics

crystal-ball-with-dollar-signs-inside-symbolizing-financial-1055590086-stockpack-adobestock
Crystal ball with dollar signs inside, symbolizing financial forecasting of value and price trends

COSM 2026: What Does the Future Hold for Your Paycheck?

Economics and investment analyst David Bahnsen will be looking at where the US economy is headed after the midterm elections

Bahnsen sees attacks on capitalism as the denigration of hopes and dreams, of job opportunities and growth.

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robotics-engineer-in-an-rd-lab-performs-diagnostics-on-an-ai-1779960153-stockpack-adobestock
robotics engineer in an R&D lab performs diagnostics on an AI-driven collaborative robot (cobot). She is inspecting the hardware and system sensors.

At COSM: AI Developer Predicts Jobs Boom — for Humans

Elon Musk thinks AI will produce mass unemployment. Chatbot developer Andrew Mayne predicts a jobs boom instead. Who's right?

Mayne argues that there will always be more demand for people to do things as prosperity grows. Historically, that is correct.

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financial-questions-problem-solving-and-support-concept-with-2160891835-stockpack-adobestock
Financial questions, problem solving and support concept with speech bubbles containing a dollar sign, question mark, exclamation mark and a magnifying glass on blue background.

Socialism’s Most Pressing Problem: The Human Mind

Markets, prices, and profits do what socialist central planners cannot: coordinate millions of independent human minds

The market economy that socialists dispraise is not merely a system for moving goods. It is the best system for coordinating minds.

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great-image-of-three-sheep-and-a-cow-on-the-farm-10132110-stockpack-adobestock
great image of three sheep and a cow on the farm

Why Do Market Economies Succeed? Minds Are the Key Driver

Millions of minds — and billions of choices, tradeoffs, and expectations, as people try to improve their situations

A market economy is like a universe-size system of interacting human minds weighing factors of present and future, making choices, and taking purposeful actions.

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diverse-team-of-engineers-in-cleanroom-suits-inspecting-a-ro-1966087062-stockpack-adobestock
Diverse team of engineers in cleanroom suits inspecting a robotic arm. Scientists working with automated machinery in a modern manufacturing facility. High tech production

Should Scientists Decide Policies About Wealth Inequality?

To judge from a recent editorial at Nature, some scientists would like to do so and they have ideas about how to do it

Reframing policy issues as questions of objective “science” makes it easier to justify relying on “experts”, thereby enfeebling democratic institutions in favor of bureaucratic systems.

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Close up hand of man pushing button on vending machine for choosing a snack or drink. Small business and consumption concept.

Economics: It’s All About the Human Mind

What an ice-cold cola teaches about value, choice, and exchange

The sometimes-forbidding terminology economists use is rooted in very basic principles of human behavior, ones that can easily be illustrated.

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open-door-to-a-new-home-with-key-and-home-shaped-keychain-mo-329376481-stockpack-adobestock
Open door to a new home with key and home shaped keychain. Mortgage, investment, real estate, property and new home concept

Might Now Be a Good Time to Buy a House?

I asked ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude and they confidently spewed bucketloads of well-written but barely relevant prose. There is a better way to find out

All real estate is local but, despite bubbles, it is generally better to buy than rent.

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Woman Versus Robot In Office Job Takeover

Does AI Really Threaten Your Job? That Depends On Your Job

According to Robert J. Marks, jobs that AI won’t disrupt use the unique human attributes of understanding and creativity

Marks points out that model collapse means that AI can’t simply keep getting better by training itself until it becomes a superintelligence.

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file-cabinets-overflowing-with-orange-folders-and-documents-1913725294-stockpack-adobestock
File cabinets overflowing with orange folders and documents, symbolizing bureaucracy and disorganization

Parkinson’s Law Is the Key to Understanding Bureaucratic Bloat

The experience of one small university offers a useful example

I spent 55 years as an eyewitness to this disaster, watching a relatively lean and efficient enterprise turn into a distended, barely recognizable caricature.

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city-skyline-shrouded-in-a-thick-layer-of-fog-elevated-aeria-1622244505-stockpack-adobestock
City skyline, shrouded in a thick layer of fog. Elevated aerial view reveals numerous high-rise buildings emerging from a dense cloud cover. A clear, pale blue sky is visible above the clouds

A Lack of Transparency Threatens AI — and the American Economy

Even the Wall Street Journal does not appear to understand the nature of the looming problems

AI software startups should be required to release audited numbers so that we can at least understand the current state of the AI economy.

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drowning-in-debt-as-bank-crises-loom-over-an-ocean-of-curren-1009707908-stockpack-adobestock
Drowning in debt as bank crises loom over an ocean of currency beneath stormy skies

COSM 2025: Publisher Steve Forbes’ Take On National Debt Crisis

He will be one of the participants in a panel discussion on That Unpleasant Subject at COSM 2025 in Scottsdale, Arizona, in November this year

Two other panelists are Chapman University’s Mark Skousen and John Tamny, author of The Deficit Delusion (2025). George Gilder will moderate.

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futuristic-cityscape-with-blockchain-and-ai-data-networks-co-1493475640-stockpack-adobestock
futuristic cityscape with blockchain and ai data networks connecting buildings

If China Wins the Blockchain Derby, a Global Chill Will Follow

COSM 2025: While the West fusses about cryptocurrencies, China aims at building a blockchain to control the global internet. And few pay attention…

DoD Chief Strategy Officer Jinyoung Englund will be speaking on what control by China would mean and whether the United States can catch up.

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rural peasant ploughing his field in traditional old manual methods with domestic animal in a winter morning, Bangladeshi farmer cultivating his paddy field with cows connected with a wooden yoke

International Tribunals Grant Rights to Nature, Restrict Energy

This means restricting fossil fuel development, including in areas where people are currently living in destitution

The vaunted international community is going all-in on radical environmentalism that, if enacted widely, would gut human prosperity.

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Robot controls the world

Erik J. Larson Reviews Sobering Recent Book on AI Shaping Society

In the Los Angeles Review of Books, he examines the ideas in Robert Sidelsky’s recent book, Mindless - and their implications

Sidelsky, Larson tells us, thinks our problems stem not from the machines themselves but from the stories we’ve told about them.

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man-and-ai-robot-waiting-for-a-job-interview-ai-vs-human-com-680701487-stockpack-adobestock
Man and AI robot waiting for a job interview: AI vs human competition

The Job Market is Telling Us Something About AI and Jobs…

But it’s not telling us the same things as the AI hypesters are telling us

The job market for recent college grads may be warning us that participation trophies for college and ChatGPT use have long-run costs.

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Person uses laptop interacting with AI virtual assistant. AI head graphic overlay laptop keyboard. Concept of AI prompt engineering, LLM. Person types on keyboard to communicate with virtual

Why LLMs Are Not Boosting Productivity

If LLMs were as reliably useful as economist Tyler Cowen alleges, businesses would be using them to generate profits faster than LLMs generate text. They aren’t.

So far, AI is dragging down economic growth by diverting so much human talent and natural resources away from more productive uses.

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man-working-with-stock-market-data-stockpack-adobe-stock-882662733-stockpack-adobe_stock
Man working with stock market data.

Sloppy Science is a Statistical Sin

Evidence of sloppy science encourages readers to wonder if the entire research project is compromised

Journals should require authors to make their data available online before publication and encourage others to try to replicate the research they publish.

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terahertz-and-optical-wireless-communication-towers-in-a-fut-750702731-stockpack-adobe_stock
Terahertz and optical wireless communication towers in a futuristic city with softwaredefined networking control centers

COSM: Ethernet Inventor Asks, Are We Ready for New IT Technology?

Bob Metcalfe will talk about new technologies like electromagnetic waves from the “dead zone” of the spectrum that are slowly becoming economically viable

Metcalfe’s Law of IT growth begins with the fact that one fax machine — for example — is useless. Two help a bit but millions of them made a difference.

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Egg standing at the edge of the table. 3D illustration

The Government-Debt Tipping Point Is Nonsense

There are serious problems with the economics paper by Reinhart and Rogoff, whose recommendations were widely followed

Reinhart/Rogoff’s dismissal of criticism of their deeply flawed study as “academic kerfuffle” is unconscionably cavalier.

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