Mind Matters Natural and Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis

CategoryLarge Language Models (LLMs)

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Statistical illusion in TV game. Isometric illustration of undecided businessman on stairs with open doors. Modern landing page of making decision.

Intelligence Requires More Than Following Instructions

Post-training improves the accuracy and usefulness of LLMs but does not make them intelligent in any meaningful sense — as the Monty Hall problem shows
The danger is not that computers are smarter than us but that we think they are and thus trust them to make decisions they should not be trusted to make. Read More ›
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national crossword puzzle day december 21

How the Father of Information Theory Invented Modern AI

In 1948 Claude Shannon used Andrey Markov’s 1906 process to formulate an appproach that enabled the development of chatbots (large language models)
The Markov process also explains why an LLM degrades when it is trained on its own output — its drift toward the most probable state ends in rubbish. Read More ›
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Group of jurors sitting together in jury box during trial

The Large Language Model (LLM) “Superpower” Illusion Dies Hard

Historic confirmation bias around ESP and spirit cabinets makes for an interesting comparison with the current need to believe in the abilities of LLMs
Someone blinded by confirmation bias might believe that robots and Go victories are evidence that ChatGPT would be a reliable lawyer. Read More ›
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Robotics or ai artificial intelligence connecting interaction with human.Chat bot software network.big data and transfer protocol system.Neuralink with smart brain.ai generative technology

Why LLMs (chatbots) Won’t Lead to Artificial General Intelligence

The biggest obstacle is seldom discussed: Most consequential real-world decisions involve uncertainty
LLMs can’t help when key decisions don’t feature objectively correct probabilities but rather subjective probabilities that need interpretation. Read More ›
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Robot Assembling Puzzle Pieces

Unequal Profits: Why AI Needs Successful Applications

Readers may be surprised to learn that these widely touted AI advances are not making their developers much money
In the short run this system is being propped up by the big tech players but for a stable future, it needs to be self-sustaining. Read More ›
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Futuristic robot hand holding glowingDeepSeeksign in dark ambient

DeepSeek: Honing In on the Challenges It Presents

Although the program is admirably streamlined, censorship, data breaches, copyright violation, and lack of guardrails are among the most prominent challenges
The distillation technique that DeepSeek apparently uses to poach OpenAI’s database results, over time, in a loss of information on the internet. Read More ›
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ai generative ,Artificial Intelligence technology big data.globalization and analytics management

Gen AI: A Neutral Tool? Let’s Look More Closely

All technologies change us. Some technologies change us in ways where the harms far outweigh any benefits.
GenAI is not neutral. It rides on our God-given gift of language, builds trust that leaves us open to deception, and changes us in ways we don’t notice. Read More ›
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Determined Handsome Doctor Uses Digital Tablet Computer while Walking Through Hospital Hallway. Modern Bright Clinic with Professional Staff.

Joe McDonald: How AI Can Complement Human Capabilities

Despite its limitations, AI excels in areas where humans struggle, such as analyzing large datasets, identifying patterns, and automating repetitive tasks
Dr. McDonald emphasized that AI is best used as a tool to enhance human abilities, not replace them. Read More ›
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AI creative artificial Intelligence icon on flag of China and sunset sky background, Chips and Brain. Neural networks and machine learning concept. Deepseek, Chatgpt

Did China’s DeepSeek Violate OpenAI’s Legal Rights?

“Distillation” technology may have allowed DeepSeek to piggy-back on ChatGPT to capture market share
The complex legal wrangle continues but, in general, I would advise against treating AI products as legally equivalent to human products. Read More ›
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A glowing smartphone displaying the text AI agent highlighting artificial intelligence and AGI during the singularity as a virtual assistant representative and customer service support rep

Why We Must Not Use AI In Ministry: Response to Jay Owen

An open letter to Jay Owen, a popular proponent of AI in ministry
Smith: “It’s really hard, but I hope you’ll consider what I have to share and stop telling people they should use AI in ministry.” Read More ›
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Game of Tic-tac-toe with cinnamon and tangerine on a black background

Some Lessons From DeepSeek, Compared With Other Chatbots

I tested OpenAI o1, Copilot, and Gemini Flash, along with DeepSeek, on a question about Tic-Tac-Toe
Here’s the problem with the use case for LLMs: If you know the answer, you don’t need to ask an LLM; if you don’t know the answer, you can’t trust one. Read More ›
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Minimalist AI Icons: ChatGPT vs DeepSeek, Sleek Gradient Background, Futuristic Design, No Text

DeepSeek’s AI Model Shakes the Market

A wake-up call for U.S. tech
The new reality is one where efficiency, not just brute computing power, will dictate the future of artificial intelligence. Read More ›
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Vintage woodworking tools on the workbench

AI and the Destructive Lies of the Tool Trope

You've heard this, right? “Technology isn’t good or bad; it’s a tool, it’s just how you use it that matters.” False.
Because LLM AIs never understand a single word, image, video, or line of code, they can’t know whether anything they say is right, true, or good. Read More ›
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Translucent soap bubbles floating with natural green backdrop

The AI Bubble: Hype, Reality, and Consequences

In this week's podcast, Pomona College economics prof Gary Smith discusses with Robert J. Marks what generative AI is and isn't good for
AI can be a helpful tool when used appropriately but, he warns, the current AI boom mirrors past economic bubbles, driven by hype and inflated expectations. Read More ›
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Generative AI : A visually striking graphic that is split into two halves. On one side, depict a traditional library or database to symbolize Large Language Models

Large Language Models (LLMs) Flunk Word Game Connections

Despite hype, ChatGPT and its competitors, in all their iterations, are still just text-generators based on statistical patterns in the text databases they train on
Identification of statistical patterns in text that Large Language Models (LLMs) do not understand is not going to give us AGI, let alone superintelligence. Read More ›
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A Thought Experiment on the Mind, the Brain — and AI

In a crowded AI marketplace, a nerd confronts a philosopher on subject of the human mind
Question: If thoughts can only be copied — and copied badly — by AI, which is quite unlike the brain. then how can they be generated by the brain? Read More ›
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LLM, AI Large Language Model concept. Businessman use tablet and laptop with LLM icons. A language model distinguished by its general-purpose language generation capability. Chat AI.

The Promise of Artificial General Intelligence is Evaporating

Revenue from corporate adoption of AI continues to disappoint and, so far, pales in comparison to the revenue that sustained the dot-com bubble — until it didn’t
Recognition is growing that fundamental challenges make LLMs unreliable. Increasingly expensive scaling will likely hasten the popping of the AI bubble. Read More ›
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Concept of artificial general intelligence achieving human-level understanding

Machine Intelligence and Reasoning: We Are Not on a Path to AGI

AI guru François Chollet’s Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) proves we’re not on a path to AGI
A reality check for LLMs is inevitable, and with OpenAI, “Project Strawberry,” and the new hype cycle — thanks to Chollet and others — it’s already here. Read More ›
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large language model AI machine learning concept brain business

From Data to Thoughts: Why Language Models Hallucinate

The limits of today’s language models and paths to real cognition
We’ll need an architectural approach that can handle propositions—thoughts, judgments, reasoning structures—as first-order objects. Read More ›
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Inferno Social media hype concept art poster.

AI Pessimists vs True Believers: A Deepening Divide

There is a growing divide about AI even among AI experts but many of them like polarizing content, just as the consumers of political information do
True believers don’t focus on short-term trends because they aren’t very positive. But short-term trends should be consistent with a long-term forecast. Read More ›