Mind Matters Natural and Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis

TagAI bubble

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Why isn’t the AI bubble ‘Common Knowledge’ and Pop?

Profits and revenues have been replaced by new metrics
People often invest in companies not because they think the companies will succeed, but because they think others will invest. Read More ›
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Robot Therapist AI Mental Healthcare Concept Future Psychology Support Empathy Technology Listening Session

AI Is Impacting Our Culture — But Not As We Were Told To Expect

Okay, your boss is not a robot. Your doctor is not a chatbot. But here are some things that are actually happening that we might not have expected
One change is that Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT-5, seems to be acknowledging that the AI bubble might soon burst. Read More ›
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2 Seifenblasen

Yes, the AI Stock Bubble Is a Bubble

It's unfolding the way a financial bubble typically does
Unlike the Internet, LLMs are not useful enough to prompt customers to pay prices that reflect the hundreds of billions of dollars needed to develop them. Read More ›
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Robot Assembling Puzzle Pieces

Unequal Profits: Why AI Needs Successful Applications

Readers may be surprised to learn that these widely touted AI advances are not making their developers much money
In the short run this system is being propped up by the big tech players but for a stable future, it needs to be self-sustaining. Read More ›
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Flint sparking matchstick for authentic ignition. Concept Fire starting, Survival gear, Camping essentials, Emergency preparedness

Sundar Pichai Says AI Will Be as Big as Fire

The AI bubble is going to pop.

Ask someone how big AI will be, and the answer is likely huge. But how big is huge? Why does this matter? Because big forecasts encourage big investments, trials, and purchases. After big consulting companies predicted eight years ago that AI would have economic gains of about $15 trillion by 2030, many countries and companies felt the need to pay for their own reports from those same consultants. Of course, those consultants said that those countries could experience rapid productivity gains and those companies could experience rising profits if they implemented AI in the right way, which was of course under the guidance of the consulting companies! Eight years later and few of their predictions have come true. But their Read More ›

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Stanford’s AI Index Report: How Much Is BS?

Some measurements of AI’s economic impact sound like the metrics that fueled the dot-com bubble

Stanford University’s AI index offers us fanciful measures of the triumph of AI, rivaling the far-fetched metrics of dot-com commerce. The reality has been the opposite. For decades, U.S. productivity grew by about 3% a year. Then, after 1970, it slowed to 1.5% a year, then 1%, now about 0.5%. Perhaps we are spending too much time on our smartphones.

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