Mind Matters Natural and Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis

TagHelmut Norpoth

high-tech-american-election-coverage-in-a-futuristic-studio-972672861-stockpack-adobe_stock
High-tech American election coverage in a futuristic studio

Presidential Pundits—a P-Hacking Parable

In politics, as elsewhere, too many studies flop when other researchers attempt to replicate them with fresh data
Some prediction models were developed by well-intentioned researchers before the perils of p-hacking were clearly understood, hence the failures. Read More ›
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man riding on self balancing board graffiti

Election Models: Predicting the Past is Easy — and Useless

You can seldom see where you are going by looking in a rear-view mirror
I told my students that I had a model that predicted the popular vote for the the last ten presidential elections (1980–2016) perfectly. Read More ›