Mind Matters Natural and Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis

TagBlaise Agüera y Arcas

robotics-or-ai-artificial-intelligence-connecting-interactio-626535089-stockpack-adobe_stock
Robotics or ai artificial intelligence connecting interaction with human.Chat bot software network.big data and transfer protocol system.Neuralink with smart brain.ai generative technology

Why LLMs (chatbots) Won’t Lead to Artificial General Intelligence

The biggest obstacle is seldom discussed: Most consequential real-world decisions involve uncertainty
LLMs can’t help when key decisions don’t feature objectively correct probabilities but rather subjective probabilities that need interpretation. Read More ›
large-language-models-concept-illustration-ai-stockpack-adob-891995515-stockpack-adobe_stock
large language models Concept illustration Ai

AGI Is Not Already Here. LLMs Are Still Not Even Intelligent

Recent tests continue to show huge failures in comprehending common sense issues
In one test, for example — not understanding the situation — Open AI launched an extremely verbose and confused description of the situation. Read More ›
generative-ai-a-visually-striking-graphic-that-is-split-into-794726345-stockpack-adobe_stock
Generative AI : A visually striking graphic that is split into two halves. On one side, depict a traditional library or database to symbolize Large Language Models

Large Language Models (LLMs) Flunk Word Game Connections

Despite hype, ChatGPT and its competitors, in all their iterations, are still just text-generators based on statistical patterns in the text databases they train on
Identification of statistical patterns in text that Large Language Models (LLMs) do not understand is not going to give us AGI, let alone superintelligence. Read More ›
llm-ai-large-language-model-concept-businessman-use-tablet-a-886081817-stockpack-adobe_stock
LLM, AI Large Language Model concept. Businessman use tablet and laptop with LLM icons. A language model distinguished by its general-purpose language generation capability. Chat AI.

The Promise of Artificial General Intelligence is Evaporating

Revenue from corporate adoption of AI continues to disappoint and, so far, pales in comparison to the revenue that sustained the dot-com bubble — until it didn’t
Recognition is growing that fundamental challenges make LLMs unreliable. Increasingly expensive scaling will likely hasten the popping of the AI bubble. Read More ›
Customer service and support live chat with chatbot and automati

Chatbots: Still Dumb After All These Years

Intelligence is more than statistically appropriate responses

This story, by Pomona College business and investment prof Gary Smith was #6 in 2022 at Mind Matters News in terms of reader numbers. As we approach the New Year, we are rerunning the top ten Mind Matters News stories of 2022, based on reader interest. At any rate: “Chatbots: Still dumb after all these years.” (January 3, 2022) In 1970, Marvin Minsky, recipient of the Turing Award (“the Nobel Prize of Computing”), predicted that within “three to eight years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being.”  Fifty-two years later, we’re still waiting. The fundamental roadblock is that, although computer algorithms are really, really good at identifying statistical patterns, they have no way of Read More ›

positive-girl-resting-on-the-couch-with-robot-stockpack-adobe-stock
Positive girl resting on the couch with robot

Turing Tests Are Terribly Misleading

Black box algorithms are now being trusted to approve loans, price insurance, screen job applicants, trade stocks, determine prison sentences, and much more. Is that wise?

In 1950 Alan Turing proposed that the question, “Can machines think?,” be replaced by a test of how well a computer plays the “imitation game.” A man and woman go into separate rooms and respond with typewritten answers to questions that are intended to identify the players, each of whom is trying to persuade the interrogators that they are the other person. Turing proposed that a computer take the part of one of the players and the experiment be deemed a success if the interrogators are no more likely to make a correct identification. There are other versions of the game, some of which were suggested by Turing. The standard Turing test today involves a human and a computer and Read More ›