Tag: John Kay

AI robot sitting on a chair next to an elderly man with coffee, both waiting for a job interview. AI vs human concept. futuristic technology coexisting with people in a professional environment

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Erik J. Larson
Date
May 20, 2025

Categorized
Artificial Intelligence, Probability, Psychology

Tagged
Amos Tversky (1937‒1996), Axiomatic rationality, Black swan events, Daniel Kahneman (1934‒2024), Ecological rationality, Grice’s cooperation principle, John Kay, Linda Problem, Mervyn King, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Richard Branson, Steve Jobs, Unknown unknowns}

The Linda Problem Revisited, As If Reality Matters

_{Part 2: AI enthusiasts use false claims for humans' “natural stupidity” to bolster claims for machine intelligence} _{Erik J. Larson
May 20, 2025

12

Artificial Intelligence, Probability, Psychology}

The people who flunked the Linda problem were not biased; they just assumed there was some POINT to telling them that Linda was active in social justice issues. Read More ›

Cognitive Bias and Judgement Error - Conceptual Illustration

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post

Erik J. Larson
Date
May 19, 2025

Categorized
Probability, Psychology

Tagged
Amos Tversky (1937‒1996), Axiomatic rationality, Blaise Pascal, Chevalier de Mere, Cognitive biases, Daniel Kahneman (1934‒2024), Featured, John Kay, Linda Problem, Mervyn King, Michael Lewis, Radical Uncertainty (Little Brown 2020), The Undoing Project (Norton 2016)}

Humans Aren’t That Biased — and Machines Aren’t That Smart

_{Part 1: At an upcoming conference on AI, I will be puncturing that particular AI enthusiast’s fantasy} _{Erik J. Larson
May 19, 2025

7

Probability, Psychology}

Via the "Linda Problem," Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky convinced generations that we don't grasp probability. They're wrong. Read More ›

Clever black child thinking on chalkboard background with science formulas

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post

Erik J. Larson
Date
February 15, 2025

Categorized
Artificial Intelligence, Psychology, Transhumanism

Tagged
Amos Tversky (1937–1006), Blaise Pascal (1623–1662), Chevalier de Méré, Daniel Kahneman (1934-2024), Featured, Grice’s maxims, John Kay, Linda Problem, Mervyn King, Michael Lewis, Noise: (Little Brown 2021), Olivier Sibony, Radical Uncertainty (Norton 2020), Richard Branson, Thinking Fast and Slow (FSG 2011), Undoing Project}

Why Humans Aren’t That Biased, and Machines Aren’t That Smart

_{Claims about the cognitive biases that supposedly overwhelm our judgment should be taken with a helping of salt} _{Erik J. Larson
February 15, 2025

17

Artificial Intelligence, Psychology, Transhumanism}

It’s no wonder that techno-futurists trumpet a coming machine intelligence with such ease — they’ve lowered the standards so much to begin with. Read More ›