Tag: Daniel Kahneman (1934‒2024)

Cognitive Bias and Judgement Error - Conceptual Illustration

^{Type
post

Erik J. Larson
Date
May 19, 2025

Categorized
Probability, Psychology

Tagged
Amos Tversky (1937‒1996), Axiomatic rationality, Blaise Pascal, Chevalier de Mere, Cognitive biases, Daniel Kahneman (1934‒2024), Featured, John Kay, Linda Problem, Mervyn King, Michael Lewis, Radical Uncertainty (Little Brown 2020), The Undoing Project (Norton 2016)}

Humans Aren’t That Biased — and Machines Aren’t That Smart

_{Part 1: At an upcoming conference on AI, I will be puncturing that particular AI enthusiast’s fantasy} _{Erik J. Larson
May 19, 2025

7

Probability, Psychology}

Via the “Linda Problem,” Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky convinced generations that we don’t grasp probability. They’re wrong.