Tag: Axiomatic rationality

AI robot sitting on a chair next to an elderly man with coffee, both waiting for a job interview. AI vs human concept. futuristic technology coexisting with people in a professional environment

^{Type
post

Erik J. Larson
Date
May 20, 2025

Categorized
Artificial Intelligence, Probability, Psychology

Tagged
Amos Tversky (1937‒1996), Axiomatic rationality, Black swan events, Daniel Kahneman (1934‒2024), Ecological rationality, Grice’s cooperation principle, John Kay, Linda Problem, Mervyn King, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Richard Branson, Steve Jobs, Unknown unknowns}

The Linda Problem Revisited, As If Reality Matters

_{Part 2: AI enthusiasts use false claims for humans' “natural stupidity” to bolster claims for machine intelligence} _{Erik J. Larson
May 20, 2025

12

Artificial Intelligence, Probability, Psychology}

The people who flunked the Linda problem were not biased; they just assumed there was some POINT to telling them that Linda was active in social justice issues. Read More ›

Cognitive Bias and Judgement Error - Conceptual Illustration

^{Type
post

Erik J. Larson
Date
May 19, 2025

Categorized
Probability, Psychology

Tagged
Amos Tversky (1937‒1996), Axiomatic rationality, Blaise Pascal, Chevalier de Mere, Cognitive biases, Daniel Kahneman (1934‒2024), Featured, John Kay, Linda Problem, Mervyn King, Michael Lewis, Radical Uncertainty (Little Brown 2020), The Undoing Project (Norton 2016)}

Humans Aren’t That Biased — and Machines Aren’t That Smart

_{Part 1: At an upcoming conference on AI, I will be puncturing that particular AI enthusiast’s fantasy} _{Erik J. Larson
May 19, 2025

7

Probability, Psychology}

Via the "Linda Problem," Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky convinced generations that we don't grasp probability. They're wrong. Read More ›