The problem with complex systems is that a lot can go wrong. It turns out that the number of potential problems grows exponentially as you add more factors to a system. Justin Bui and Samuel Haug discuss contingencies and artificial general intelligence with Robert J. Marks.
- 01:10 | Introducing Justin Bui and Sam Haug
- 01:28 | Exponential Explosion of Contingencies
- 08:20 | Avoiding Contingency Explosions
- 08:43 | Domain Expertise
- 13:09 | Standardization of the AI
- 15:15 | Four Types of Knowns
- 19:43 | Human Contingencies
- 22:25 | Pareto Trade-Off
- 24:41 | Doman Expertise and Forecasting
- Haug, Samuel, Robert J. Marks, and William A. Dembski. “Exponential Contingency Explosion: Implications for Artificial General Intelligence.” IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems (2021).
- Why is it called Formula 409?
- The History of WD-40
- More on Pareto Efficiency