Mind Matters Natural and Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis

Gary Smith

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Ai chatbot with educational icons connected to a person using a laptop

What Kind of a “PhD-level Expert” Is ChatGPT 5.0? I Tested It.

The responses to my three prompts made clear that GPT 5.0, far from being the expert that CEO Sam Altman claims, can’t address the meanings of words or concepts

In an era where politicians, celebrities, and businesses can get away with blatant untruths with little or no consequence, will the same be true of LLMs?

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Table games of chance, including tic tac toe, are set up in large size to entertain the party guests

ChatGPT-5 Tries Out “Rotated” Tic-Tac-Toe. You Be the Judge…

They say that dogs tend to resemble their owners. Chat GPT very much resembles Sam Altman — always confident, often wrong

It’s no mystery why LLMs aren’t intelligent in any meaningful way. The real mystery is why so many otherwise intelligent people still take the claims seriously.

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Android robot navigating through a cyber digital world, pointing its finger towards a glowing computer coding interface.luminous glow of digital technology, an android engages in the art of computer.

AI Is a Long Way From Replacing Software Coders

Despite C-suite claims, they are not likely to take our jobs any time soon because they do not understand what words mean and how words relate to the physical world

LLMs excel at simple coding tasks but are still too unreliable to use without extensive human supervision on complex tasks where mistakes are expensive.

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Aerial panoramic view of downtown Mountain View, California, along Castro Street, looking toward San Francisco Bay

Sci Foo Unconference: Horseshoe Crabs, Alchemy and (Of Course) AI

It’s called an “unconference” because attendees do not present papers in pre-organized sessions; they propose topics at the venue and those with most interest are selected

Many Sci Foo attendees were excited by LLMs in education but I fear that — when the way they are used is considered — they will increase social inequality.

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Man and AI robot waiting for a job interview: AI vs human competition

The Job Market is Telling Us Something About AI and Jobs…

But it’s not telling us the same things as the AI hypesters are telling us

The job market for recent college grads may be warning us that participation trophies for college and ChatGPT use have long-run costs.

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Transform photo stock management with AI reasoning models that enhance image perception and optimize digital asset organization.

No, Large Reasoning Models Do Not Reason

Large reasoning models continue the Large Language Model detour away from artificial general intelligence

It is increasingly recognized that, without extensive post-training, their authoritative answers are often remarkably bad.

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Group of youth absorbed in smartphone screens

LLMs Are Bad at Good Things, Good at Bad Things

LLMs may well become smarter than humans in the near future but not because these chatbots are becoming more intelligent

As people become attached to and dependent on their AI friends, they become less interested in their fellow humans.

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Unrecognizable woman student using chat bot on laptop

Yes, Large Language Models May Soon be Smarter than Humans…

But not for the reason you think

Too many students are not learning how to think and write; they are learning how to use LLMs — no matter that LLM responses cannot be trusted.

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Mock code for an AI Large Language Model (LLM) that could intelligently answer questions. LLMs are one of the most popular implementations of recent Artificial Intelligence research

LLMs Still Cannot be Trusted for Financial Advice

The limitations of Large Language Models (chatbots) are illustrated by their struggles with financial advice

The real danger remains: we may think computers are smarter than us and consequently trust them to make decisions they should not be trusted to make.

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Close up of an AI Artificial Intelligence GPU chip on motherboard. Concept of LLM, Large Language Models.

Large Language Models: A Lack-of-Progress Report

They will not be as powerful as either hoped or feared

LLMs are enormously expensive yet it is increasingly clear that they will never be reliable enough to be trusted in complex situations where mistakes are costly

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Digital data stream analysis cyber environment visual display technology abstract perspective

Machine Learning Algos Often Fail: They Focus on Data, Ignore Theory

Without a theory, a pattern is just a pattern

The data-mining algorithms may recognize that a statistical pattern has vanished but won’t know why because they do not understand it as a logical relationship.

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2 Seifenblasen

Yes, the AI Stock Bubble Is a Bubble

It's unfolding the way a financial bubble typically does

Unlike the Internet, LLMs are not useful enough to prompt customers to pay prices that reflect the hundreds of billions of dollars needed to develop them.

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person-uses-laptop-interacting-with-ai-virtual-assistant-ai-1133554305-stockpack-adobe_stock
Person uses laptop interacting with AI virtual assistant. AI head graphic overlay laptop keyboard. Concept of AI prompt engineering, LLM. Person types on keyboard to communicate with virtual

Why LLMs Are Not Boosting Productivity

If LLMs were as reliably useful as economist Tyler Cowen alleges, businesses would be using them to generate profits faster than LLMs generate text. They aren’t.

So far, AI is dragging down economic growth by diverting so much human talent and natural resources away from more productive uses.

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Statistical illusion in TV game. Isometric illustration of undecided businessman on stairs with open doors. Modern landing page of making decision.

Intelligence Requires More Than Following Instructions

Post-training improves the accuracy and usefulness of LLMs but does not make them intelligent in any meaningful sense — as the Monty Hall problem shows

The danger is not that computers are smarter than us but that we think they are and thus trust them to make decisions they should not be trusted to make.

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Group of jurors sitting together in jury box during trial

The Large Language Model (LLM) “Superpower” Illusion Dies Hard

Historic confirmation bias around ESP and spirit cabinets makes for an interesting comparison with the current need to believe in the abilities of LLMs

Someone blinded by confirmation bias might believe that robots and Go victories are evidence that ChatGPT would be a reliable lawyer.

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Robotics or ai artificial intelligence connecting interaction with human.Chat bot software network.big data and transfer protocol system.Neuralink with smart brain.ai generative technology

Why LLMs (chatbots) Won’t Lead to Artificial General Intelligence

The biggest obstacle is seldom discussed: Most consequential real-world decisions involve uncertainty

LLMs can’t help when key decisions don’t feature objectively correct probabilities but rather subjective probabilities that need interpretation.

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Game of Tic-tac-toe with cinnamon and tangerine on a black background

Some Lessons From DeepSeek, Compared With Other Chatbots

I tested OpenAI o1, Copilot, and Gemini Flash, along with DeepSeek, on a question about Tic-Tac-Toe

Here’s the problem with the use case for LLMs: If you know the answer, you don’t need to ask an LLM; if you don’t know the answer, you can’t trust one.

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Man working with stock market data.

Sloppy Science is a Statistical Sin

Evidence of sloppy science encourages readers to wonder if the entire research project is compromised

Journals should require authors to make their data available online before publication and encourage others to try to replicate the research they publish.

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large language models Concept illustration Ai

AGI Is Not Already Here. LLMs Are Still Not Even Intelligent

Recent tests continue to show huge failures in comprehending common sense issues

In one test, for example — not understanding the situation — Open AI launched an extremely verbose and confused description of the situation.

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Generative AI : A visually striking graphic that is split into two halves. On one side, depict a traditional library or database to symbolize Large Language Models

Large Language Models (LLMs) Flunk Word Game Connections

Despite hype, ChatGPT and its competitors, in all their iterations, are still just text-generators based on statistical patterns in the text databases they train on

Identification of statistical patterns in text that Large Language Models (LLMs) do not understand is not going to give us AGI, let alone superintelligence.

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